Chat Rooms   Forums   Event Calendar      Help/FAQ   
Welcome Guest ( Login | Register )
    Search    
Home » Forums » General Audience Forums » Politics » The Palin Effect Part II
Upgrade to Gold Membership and remove these advertisements!


««123»»

The Palin Effect Part IIExpand / Collapse
Author
Message
Posted 10/5/2008 9:00:29 PM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember




What do these candidates have in common?

Can you pick out YOUR candidate?










Capitalizm without failure...is like Religion without Hell.



Post #856273
Posted 10/6/2008 9:51:39 AM
Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

The Monday polls I see on RealClear Politics indicate that Obama in the National average has moved from 5.9 to 6.3!

~ I dig it when you have a smile on your face ~
Post #856381
Posted 10/6/2008 11:03:04 AM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

..errrr...I meant next Monday.
Post #856392
Posted 10/6/2008 11:35:58 AM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

errr... 6.7? *LOL* one excuse or another we shall see I would wager

"To know, is to know you know nothing."
-Confucius
Post #856399
Posted 10/6/2008 11:41:40 AM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

..errrr...I meant next Monday.


hahaha

~ I dig it when you have a smile on your face ~
Post #856403
Posted 10/6/2008 12:37:35 PM
Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

As of early this afternoon, RCP is reporting five polls with results through 10/5 (the others are all through 9/30 or 9/29). Those 5 polls show:

Gallup Tracking 10/03 - 10/05 2744 RV 50 42 Obama +8
Rasmussen Tracking 10/03 - 10/05 3000 LV 52 44 Obama +8
Hotline/FD Tracking 10/03 - 10/05 909 LV 47 41 Obama +6
Democracy Corps (D) 10/01 - 10/05 1000 LV 49 46 Obama +3
GW/Battleground Tracking 09/30 - 10/05 800 LV 50 43 Obama +7

Average is Obama +6.4. Take out the one outlier (Democracy Corps at 3%) and the average of the other four is Obama +7.3

It is pretty clear now that there was a post VP debate Palin effect - and that it was negative.

Both Gallup and Rasmussen now have Obama at +8.

Rasmussen, FOX News' pollsters, says this today:

Monday, October 06, 2008 Email to a FriendAdvertisement
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 52% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. This is the highest level of support ever recorded for Obama and is his largest lead of the year. It also continues a remarkable twenty-five days in a row where the Democrat’s support has never declined by even a single point.

As for the Presidential race, Obama now leads by two points among men. That’s the first time he has led among men all year and he also enjoys a fourteen point advantage among women. Obama attracts 12% of Republican voters and leads by eleven among those not affiliated with either major political party. McCain gets the vote from 11% of Democrats (see other recent demographic highlights).

It is worth noting that Obama’s lead is now bigger than any lead enjoyed at any point by either candidate in Election 2004.



As always it will be interesting to see the impact if any of this weeks debate and the new NHB negative attack strategy of McCain's.

Post #856410
Posted 10/6/2008 12:48:36 PM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

..errrr...the next Monday. *LOL*

"To know, is to know you know nothing."
-Confucius
Post #856414
Posted 10/6/2008 2:49:51 PM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

A new SurveyUSA poll finds John McCain's chances of winning Virginia slipping away. Barack Obama is ahead in the state by ten points, 53% to 43%. The full results:

As McCain's Lead Among White Virginians Shrinks, So Too His Chances of Holding The State's 13 Electoral Votes: 29 days until votes are counted in Virginia, Democrat Barack Obama is ahead 53% to 43%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, WJLA-TV in Washington DC, WTVR-TV in Richmond, and WJHL-TV in the Tri-Cities. In 4 tracking polls conducted since the Republican Convention, McCain has gone from up by 2 to down by 10.

Virginia is 4.9 moving to Leaning Obama, RealClear

~ I dig it when you have a smile on your face ~
Post #856425
Posted 10/7/2008 6:41:16 AM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

RCP Average 09/30 - 10/06 -- 49.6 43.8 Obama +5.8

Reuters/CSpan/Zogby Tracking 10/04 - 10/06 1237 LV 48 45 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/04 - 10/05 658 RV 49 43 Obama +6
CBS News 10/03 - 10/05 616 LV 48 45 Obama +3


The pendulum is swinging back again already!
Post #856545
Posted 10/7/2008 7:37:35 AM


Member

MemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMemberMember

CNN Projected Electoral College Map

Obama 264
McCain 174

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/

~ I dig it when you have a smile on your face ~
Post #856552
« Prev Topic | Next Topic »

««123»»

PermissionsExpand / Collapse